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RPM INTERNATIONAL INC/DE/ (RPM)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 FY2025 was pressured by severe weather, FX headwinds, and transitional plant consolidation costs: revenue $1.48B (-3.0% YoY), GAAP diluted EPS $0.40, adjusted EPS $0.35, EBIT $62.7M, adjusted EBIT $78.2M .
- Versus S&P Global consensus, RPM missed: revenue $1.48B vs $1.51B*, adjusted EPS $0.35 vs $0.50*; 13 EPS and 12 revenue estimates were outstanding*, driven by under-absorption from lower volumes and FX .
- Cash flow execution remained a bright spot (Q3 operating cash flow $91.5M; second-highest third quarter historically), with operating working capital/sales improving 70 bps to 20.7% and total debt reduced to $2.10B .
- Q4 FY2025 guidance: consolidated sales flat YoY; adjusted EBIT up low-single digits; PCG mid-single-digit growth; CPG flat; SPG and Consumer low-single-digit declines; tariffs expected to lift raw material inflation from low- to mid-single digits .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- “By prioritizing cash flow over profitability, we generated another quarter of strong cash flow… inventories declined $36 million versus last year” .
- Fiberglass reinforced plastic structures (PCG) grew double digits, supported by data center demand .
- Announced definitive agreement to acquire The Pink Stuff (~£150M CY2024 sales), expanding Consumer cleaners globally and across e-commerce/grocery/drug channels .
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What Went Wrong
- Unseasonably cold weather (southern U.S.) and wildfires (west) reduced construction and outdoor project activity; foreign currency and eight plant consolidation transitions pressured margins .
- Seasonally low quarter magnified under-absorption from disciplined inventory draw-down; corporate/other expenses rose on higher M&A and compensation .
- SPG faced lower specialty OEM and disaster restoration demand; Consumer experienced raw material inflation (packaging/solvents) and under-absorption from lower production .
Financial Results
Segment sales and earnings (Q3 YoY):
KPIs and balance sheet:
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “The unfavorable weather conditions we discussed in early January continued and became more widespread… Unseasonably cold weather in the southern U.S. and wildfires in the west reduced demand…” .
- “By prioritizing cash flow over profitability, we generated another quarter of strong cash flow… inventories declined $36 million versus last year.” .
- “We anticipate… modest earnings growth in the fourth quarter… with the financial benefits of MAP 2025 becoming even more evident when sustained volume growth returns.” .
- On tariffs: “Unmitigated impact… about 3.2%, larger in the U.S. about 4.3%… ~$74–$75M on a $2.5B spend. Mitigations include Annex 2 exemptions, alternative sourcing, vendor partnerships, product substitutions, and price increases.” .
Q&A Highlights
- Macro and guidance: management sees a “low growth, no growth” environment continuing; a return to profitable growth in Q4 driven by self-help, share gains, and new products .
- Operating rates: organic growth down 1.8%; lower production to reduce inventories drove under-absorption of fixed costs (DIO down ~8 days YTD) .
- Tariffs detail: quantified impact and mitigation; highlighted predatory domestic metal pricing behavior; expect to offset most inflation via sourcing and pricing .
- Backlog: roofing/WTI backlog remains strong; projects largely pushed from Q3 to Q4; PCG backlog solid near-term .
- Corporate expense: non-op running ~$35M/quarter; elevated in Q3 due to M&A costs; likely above $35M in Q4 .
- M&A appetite: pipeline improving; multiples down; Pink Stuff structured with ~20% earnout to sales/profit targets .
Estimates Context
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Implications: Results likely prompt near-term estimate revisions lower given Q3 shortfall and Q4 guide to low-single-digit adjusted EBIT growth; management highlighted tariff-driven mid-single-digit raw inflation and ongoing plant consolidation transitions, which may temper near-term margin expectations while structural MAP benefits re-accelerate with volume .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Expect modest Q4 earnings growth with a flat sales backdrop; PCG strength and backlog should lead, while Consumer and SPG remain soft near-term .
- Structural MAP 2025 gains are intact; leverage will improve as volumes normalize (watch weather normalization and seasonality) .
- Raw material inflation risks rising to mid-single digits from tariffs; RPM’s mitigation playbook (sourcing shifts, pricing) should limit P&L impact .
- Cash discipline is a differentiator (Q3 CFO $91.5M; OWC down 70 bps); debt down to $2.10B supports M&A and dividend continuity .
- Pink Stuff acquisition is strategically accretive to Consumer cleaners, expanding channels (e-commerce/grocery/drug) with above-average margin profile; closing expected late Q4 or early Q1 FY2026 .
- Watch PCG’s data center/building envelope exposure (double-digit FRP) for growth resilience; CPG system-selling supports repair/maintenance thesis in tight budgets .
- Near-term trading: Q3 miss vs consensus and cautious Q4 guide may cap upside until visibility improves; catalysts include normalization of activity, tariff mitigation execution, and M&A additions .